Summary
Research Questions
How does globalization influence political pressure for fiscal discipline?
Why is austerity legitimized differently in wartime versus modern debt crises?
What are the consequences of 'The Age of Austerity' for future economic policy?
Method & Theory
Model Framework
Comparative Analysis (Theory & History)
Identification Strategy
Contrasting Keynesian and Neoliberal perspectives on crisis management.
Data & Frequency
Historical cases (Australia 1942 vs. Modern Debt Crises) and macroeconomic indicators.
Estimation Approach
Qualitative analysis of political communication and market reactions.
Central Points
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Disciplining Pressure: Increased capital mobility makes states sensitive to market reactions, creating incentives to signal 'credibility' through austerity.
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Shifting Legitimacy: In wartime, austerity is legitimized as 'national survival'; today, as 'market discipline' and 'financial stability'.
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Theoretical Split: Keynesians warn of negative multiplier effects, while Neoliberals emphasize confidence effects and lower risk premia.
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Context Dependency: There is no 'one-size-fits-all'. The effect depends on the business cycle, debt composition, and institutions.
Bibliography
- Blyth, M. (2013). Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea. Oxford University Press.
- Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.
- Alesina, A., & Ardagna, S. (2010). Large Changes in Fiscal Policy: Taxes versus Spending.
Subjects
Sources
Economic Theory (Keynes, Hayek, Mark Blyth), Historical Sources.
Word / Excel (Descriptive Statistics).
Download Project
Jørgensen, Anton M. E. (2020). Globalization's Impact on Austerity Policy. HHX Project, Handelsgymnasiet Lolland-Falster. Perspectives
EU Stability Pact: How do we balance discipline with the need for investment?
Sovereign Debt: Understanding debt sustainability in a world of free capital flows.
Political Communication: How economic necessities are translated into political messages.