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Technical Frameworks

Model Library

Understanding the theory behind the buttons is what separates a good economist from a data entry clerk. Here is a review of the models I work with.

SYSTEM STATUS: OPERATIONAL

THE SIGNAL ROOM

REAL-TIME MACROECONOMIC CONTROL CENTER

MONETARY POLICY

Taylor Rule Deviation

-0.42%

INFLATION

HICP Inflation Rate (YoY)

2.2%

SYSTEM TRANSMISSION

Monetary Pass-throughHigh
Credit FrictionModerate
Yield Curve SlopeInverted
ECB Rate4.00%
US Fed Funds5.25%
EUR/USD1.082
VIX Index14.22

SVAR (Structural Vector Autoregression)

Used to identify structural shocks in macroeconomic time series.

B_0 y_t = c + B_1 y_{t-1} + ... + B_p y_{t-p} + \epsilon_t

Used in bachelor's project to isolate US monetary policy shocks via 'Sign Restrictions'.

DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium)

Micro-founded macro models used to simulate economic policies.

E_t \sum_{j=0}^{\infty} \beta^j U(c_{t+j}, l_{t+j})

Experience with Dynare and calibration of neoclassical growth models.

Taylor Rules

A monetary reaction function determining the optimal interest rate based on inflation and output gap.

i_t = r^* + \pi_t + \alpha_\pi(\pi_t - \pi^*) + \alpha_y(y_t)

Interactive simulator built with React & Chart.js.

Try Live

CGE (Computable General Equilibrium)

Static and dynamic modeling of entire economies, often used for trade and tax policy.

Y = A \cdot [\alpha K^\rho + (1-\alpha) L^\rho]^{1/\rho}

Programming in GAMS to solve complex market equilibria.